Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Real Sporting vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
RSO
3 - 2
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 1
DEP
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
DEP
0 - 2
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1965 |
SPO
2 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1965 |
SPO
3 - 3
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
RSO
3 - 2
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
RSO
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
OSA
2 - 1
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
RSO
2 - 0
BET
48%
23%
29%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 1965 |
BET
1 - 2
RSO
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +2 |