Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Real Sporting vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
RAC
0 - 4
SPO
26%
20%
54%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
SPO
13 - 0
AVI
81%
12%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 6
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAD
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
3 - 0
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
3 - 3
VCF
61%
18%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
7 - 0
OVI
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |