Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 1
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 0
CCF
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SLA
0 - 0
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SPO
1 - 1
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ALB
4 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 1
XER
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDB
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ELC
0 - 2
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
CDB
1 - 0
MUR
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |