Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 3
DEP
57%
20%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MAL
3 - 0
SPO
61%
18%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
6 - 1
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
5 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAC
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
5 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
CAS
4 - 0
MUR
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
MUR
3 - 0
GIR
71%
17%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |