Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATH
39%
23%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 2
SPO
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
26%
21%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEL
45%
22%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
46%
23%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |