Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 0
SEV
64%
17%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1933 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
SPO
3 - 2
OSA
68%
16%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
SAB
5 - 2
SPO
48%
22%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 5
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
MUR
3 - 1
RUN
46%
21%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SEV
6 - 2
MUR
57%
21%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
MUR
2 - 3
ATM
49%
20%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
CEL
3 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |