Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
ATM
4 - 1
SPO
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 0
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
SPO
5 - 1
ISC
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
BET
2 - 0
SPO
49%
21%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
SPO
2 - 1
OVI
62%
18%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1931 |
MUR
0 - 3
ATM
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1930 |
MUR
1 - 2
BET
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1930 |
OVI
1 - 1
MUR
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 1
MUR
73%
15%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |