Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-10
Real Sporting vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
5 - 1
SPO
87%
10%
4%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
SPO
5 - 1
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
SPO
0 - 0
BET
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
CDT
2 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
SPO
4 - 2
RSO
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
5 - 1
SPO
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 1
ELC
90%
7%
2%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1989 |
OSA
1 - 1
RMA
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 2
RMA
16%
26%
58%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1989 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |