Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-6
Real Sporting vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1983 |
RMA
6 - 0
SPO
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
ESP
3 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
SPO
2 - 3
ATM
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
SPO
5 - 0
ESP
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ZAR
0 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1983 |
ABE
2 - 1
RMA
43%
28%
29%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
RMA
6 - 0
SPO
80%
15%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
RMA
3 - 1
AUS
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
RMA
2 - 1
OSA
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |