Real Sporting vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RSO
1 - 2
SPO
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
SPO
4 - 2
ATM
36%
23%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
90%
7%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SPO
3 - 1
SEV
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAD
45%
22%
32%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ESP
1 - 2
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
RSO
2 - 1
RJA
75%
15%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
ATM
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FCB
6 - 2
RJA
92%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | -1 |