Real Sporting vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 0
POL
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
XER
2 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 2
LEV
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
SPO
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDT
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
EIB
5 - 0
RAY
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RAY
2 - 0
CIU
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NUM
1 - 0
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEG
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |