Real Sporting vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
LOG
0 - 0
SPO
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SPO
5 - 0
SAB
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
0 - 0
SPO
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SPO
5 - 1
OVI
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
SPO
5 - 1
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
RAY
0 - 0
SSC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 0
RAY
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
RAY
0 - 0
SDI
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
RCF
3 - 1
RAY
64%
19%
16%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
RAY
1 - 2
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |