Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-4
Real Sporting vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
SPO
4 - 1
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MON
0 - 6
SPO
15%
18%
67%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 4
AVI
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
DEP
2 - 0
SPO
43%
23%
33%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 0
SDE
89%
7%
4%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 1
RAC
19%
19%
61%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |