Real Sporting vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SPO
2 - 4
RMA
21%
23%
57%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
RMA
2 - 0
SPO
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
DEP
5 - 1
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAD
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
RCF
1 - 0
DEP
83%
11%
7%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
CHO
0 - 2
RCF
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
RCF
12 - 0
COX
86%
9%
5%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CEL
0 - 3
RCF
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
RCF
0 - 0
ATO
80%
13%
8%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |