Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 8-3
Real Sporting vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
PON
1 - 0
SPO
13%
23%
64%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
BET
2 - 0
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
RSO
1 - 2
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
VDB
1 - 1
PON
38%
28%
33%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
BAÑ
0 - 2
PON
32%
29%
39%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
PON
1 - 0
SPO
13%
23%
64%
|
37 | 83 | 46 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
PON
2 - 0
BEN
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SAL
2 - 1
PON
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |