Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZAR
23%
24%
52%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
LLE
0 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 1
LOG
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
RAY
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
CDO
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
NUM
0 - 1
RAC
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
NUM
2 - 1
EIB
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
NUM
3 - 2
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |