Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
3 - 7
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
1 - 3
SAB
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BAD
2 - 1
SPO
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
5 - 2
ORE
85%
10%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 2
OSA
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SAB
6 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
3%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 0
BAD
39%
20%
41%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ORE
2 - 0
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
1 - 1
GIM
60%
18%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |