Real Sporting vs CD Nacional de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
USC
5 - 3
SPO
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 2
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
SPO
1 - 2
FCB
28%
21%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 0
AVI
76%
13%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
NAM
5 - 1
CEL
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAM
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
NAM
3 - 0
DEP
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
AVI
3 - 1
NAM
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
NAM
87%
8%
5%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |