Real Sporting vs CD Nacional de Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
SPO
66%
16%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 2
VAD
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1935 |
AVI
0 - 2
SPO
30%
22%
47%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 0
DEP
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
NAM
3 - 0
DEP
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
AVI
3 - 1
NAM
49%
21%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
NAM
87%
8%
5%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1935 |
NAM
3 - 0
RCF
60%
19%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
VAD
4 - 1
NAM
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |