Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-3
Real Sporting vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
SPO
1 - 1
MAL
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
LEV
0 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
60%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VIN
1 - 0
LEV
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LEV
2 - 0
MAN
82%
13%
4%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
LEV
0 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
HUE
2 - 0
LEV
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
IBI
3 - 3
LEV
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |