Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
OSA
0 - 4
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SPO
1 - 0
CDB
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LEG
0 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SPO
2 - 0
MER
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
REC
0 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
HER
1 - 3
EIB
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CDT
1 - 2
HER
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
ALB
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FCB
4 - 1
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |