Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-1
Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
RSO
0 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1983 |
SPO
3 - 0
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1982 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1982 |
MLL
0 - 0
HER
55%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1982 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
HER
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |