Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
SPO
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
ARE
1 - 1
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ALC
0 - 3
SPO
38%
23%
40%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
SPO
3 - 0
CUL
73%
15%
12%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
ALC
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
HER
0 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |