Real Sporting vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
SPO
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 2
VSC
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 5
GIR
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
SAB
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
GIR
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |