Real Sporting vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
XER
2 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 2
LEV
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
SPO
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CCF
4 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
CDT
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
EIB
0 - 0
POL
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
POL
0 - 1
CIU
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NUM
1 - 0
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POL
2 - 1
LEG
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |