Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-5
Real Sporting vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 1
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
RSO
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
EIB
3 - 1
BET
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EIB
1 - 0
CEL
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 0
EIB
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 0
EIB
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EIB
2 - 1
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |