Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-0
Real Sporting vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CUL
0 - 0
SPO
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 0
SPO
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
FCB
5 - 1
CUL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CUL
1 - 1
ALC
75%
18%
7%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CUL
0 - 0
SPO
16%
21%
64%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 1
CUL
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CUL
0 - 0
AND
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |