Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Real Sporting vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
UES
0 - 0
SPO
33%
30%
37%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAD
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
FCB
0 - 2
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
SPO
3 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ALA
1 - 1
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SEV
1 - 0
SFE
36%
31%
33%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
SFE
0 - 0
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
SFE
4 - 1
JER
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
MUR
2 - 1
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
SFE
3 - 0
MEL
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |