Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Real Sporting vs Club Siero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATH
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
OSA
1 - 2
SPO
47%
29%
24%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SIE
0 - 1
SPO
17%
29%
54%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Club Siero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CAU
1 - 0
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
SIE
0 - 0
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SIE
0 - 1
SPO
17%
29%
54%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
LAR
1 - 0
SIE
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
SIE
2 - 2
GIM
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |