Real Sporting vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
CEL
3 - 4
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
SPO
5 - 1
RUN
47%
21%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
SPO
8 - 2
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
DEP
4 - 3
SPO
56%
22%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
OVI
3 - 3
SPO
59%
19%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 0
RUN
30%
21%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
4 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 4
ATM
46%
22%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
51%
22%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
CEL
4 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |