Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-3
Real Sporting vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
SPO
4 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
RSO
2 - 2
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
SPO
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
19%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 2
CON
75%
14%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CON
1 - 1
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
OSA
39%
23%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
SPO
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
RUN
6 - 0
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |