Real Sporting vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
SPO
3 - 3
OVI
57%
19%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
EUR
0 - 1
SPO
48%
21%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
SPO
3 - 1
CEL
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
ATM
2 - 2
SPO
68%
16%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
SPO
4 - 1
BET
55%
20%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
SEV
3 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
OVI
5 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
CAS
4 - 2
DEP
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |