Real Sporting vs Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HER
3 - 2
SPO
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
XER
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAS
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CIU
3 - 0
CDT
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LLE
1 - 2
CIU
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
CIU
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CIU
2 - 6
XER
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
CIU
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |