Real Sporting vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
CDO
3 - 0
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 4
DEP
54%
22%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
TER
2 - 0
SPO
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAB
68%
18%
13%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
CDC
5 - 0
SPO
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
CEL
3 - 0
DEP
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
SAB
0 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
CEL
0 - 0
SLA
83%
11%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
BAS
5 - 4
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
CEL
4 - 1
OSA
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |