Real Sporting vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
HER
3 - 1
SPO
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
3 - 2
VAL
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 3
SPO
50%
21%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
MAL
7 - 1
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1948 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
MAL
3 - 0
BAR
67%
16%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAL
52%
21%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
MAL
4 - 2
GIR
89%
8%
4%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |