Real Sporting vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SPO
0 - 1
SEV
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ALA
1 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
47%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
MLL
3 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SPO
2 - 2
JER
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 0
MLL
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
JER
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 0
PUE
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ALC
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 1
SDI
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |