Real Sporting vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CDO
1 - 1
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SPO
9 - 2
RUN
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 2
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAD
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
SDI
2 - 2
SPO
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
HOS
1 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 1
CDO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
RUN
1 - 0
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BAD
3 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |