Real Sporting vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
SPO
2 - 4
FCB
16%
20%
63%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FCB
7 - 1
SPO
96%
3%
1%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPO
3 - 2
SLA
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SDI
4 - 0
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 1961 |
SPO
3 - 2
CAD
66%
17%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BÉJ
0 - 0
BUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
9 - 0
CIU
87%
8%
4%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
AST
1 - 3
BUR
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
5 - 0
SAL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
HUL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |