Real Sporting vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SDI
1 - 2
SPO
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
SPO
3 - 1
ATB
80%
12%
8%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
CON
4 - 0
SPO
48%
22%
29%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
SPO
0 - 2
PON
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SLA
0 - 2
SPO
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1963 |
RAC
5 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 3
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ESP
4 - 0
BAS
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAB
57%
21%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |