Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-7
Real Sporting vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 0
AVI
76%
13%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 2
SPO
35%
21%
44%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAM
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
23%
40%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
42%
21%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
31%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
48%
20%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
FCB
2 - 3
SEV
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ATH
3 - 5
FCB
78%
12%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |