Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Real Sporting vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
RAC
2 - 3
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
SPO
7 - 0
RAC
55%
22%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
SPO
1 - 2
EUR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
EUR
3 - 2
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ZAR
0 - 9
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
FCB
8 - 1
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1922 |
FCB
5 - 1
RUN
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 2
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |