Real Sporting vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
4 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
AVI
1 - 2
SPO
22%
21%
57%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
LEV
1 - 1
SPO
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BAD
1 - 1
SPO
46%
22%
31%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 3
RAC
75%
14%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
RAC
75%
13%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
2 - 0
RCF
65%
18%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
CAS
0 - 2
BAR
54%
21%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |