Real Sporting vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
RCF
6 - 1
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
VAD
1 - 1
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
SPO
8 - 1
RUN
81%
12%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ARE
1 - 2
SPO
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
SPO
3 - 1
SLA
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 2
RAC
42%
23%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
RCF
3 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
VAD
65%
17%
17%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
RUN
2 - 3
BAR
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
ARE
73%
14%
13%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |