Real Sporting vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
RCF
1 - 3
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 5
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SPO
1 - 3
DEP
66%
18%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAC
34%
22%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 3
RUN
56%
19%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
DEP
9 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 3
VAD
73%
15%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |