Real Sporting vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
SEV
6 - 0
SPO
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
VCF
4 - 1
SPO
82%
11%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
SPO
3 - 3
DEP
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 3
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
0 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATM
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
60%
18%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |