Real Sporting vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
5 - 1
VIN
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
UJP
2 - 0
ATH
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
6 - 1
CAD
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 0
SER
64%
18%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |