Real Sporting vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 2
SPO
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 2
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 2
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATH
4 - 3
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
36%
24%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
ATH
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
67%
17%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |