Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
Real Sporting vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
2 - 0
SPO
35%
22%
43%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
SPO
1 - 0
BET
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
JFC
1 - 1
SPO
46%
21%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SPO
5 - 1
VAD
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
HER
0 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
2 - 0
SPO
35%
22%
43%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
4 - 1
ARE
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ARE
4 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |