Real Sporting vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SAB
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 1
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
SPO
2 - 4
FCB
16%
20%
63%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FCB
7 - 1
SPO
96%
3%
1%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPO
3 - 2
SLA
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
ALA
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ALA
3 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALA
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ALA
4 - 0
LOG
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
MIR
0 - 3
ALA
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |