Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
Real Sporting vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 1
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
51%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
1 - 3
OVI
55%
19%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
3 - 0
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
3 - 0
LEO
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 1
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ALA
2 - 0
BET
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 0
SEV
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ISC
1 - 0
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
ALA
6 - 0
OVI
49%
21%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |